Buying a home is the main pathway towards building generational wealth for most American families. For decades, the federal government built the infrastructure that made mass homeownership possible almost exclusively for White families through lending that was affordable, tightly regulated and segregated by race. Once that project succeeded, the government restricted access to the very programs and underwriting rules just as the Civil Rights era opened the door for Black families to be able to use them.

Since then, three main racial/ethnic groups (Black, Asian and Hispanic Americans) have followed three different paths when it comes to their homeownership rates. Asian families have bought homes at rates that now outpace their share of the population. Hispanic families gained ground for years, nearly closing the gap, then stalled. Black families have not seen much progress.

Six decades after the Civil Rights era and the end of legal discrimination, the homeownership gap between Black and White families has not moved.

As the first installment of this Mortgage Market series found, home purchase lending has remained constant at a rate of about 2.9 million originations a year for three straight years. This 2nd installment of this series will explore which communities are gaining access to these home loans and which communities are still seeing declines in their home-ownership rates.

Jason Richardson, Senior Director of Research

Resources

For the complete series, including videos, interactive visualizations and localized market analysis, visit our 2026 Mortgage Market series homepage. 

NCRC uses AI tools to assist with data processing, query development and report drafting. NCRC maintains full responsibility for the accuracy of all published analyses.

For customized community data requests or inquiries about membership benefits contact Ralph Cyrus (Membership Engagement Specialist) at rcyrus@ncrc.org.

Key Takeaways

1

Hispanic home purchase lending rose from 13.9% of originations in 2020 to a peak of 17.5% in 2024, nearly matching the Hispanic share of the adult population  nationally (17.4%) before decreasing slightly to 17.0% in 2025.

2

Black home purchase lending peaked at 9.2% in 2022 and 2023 and then fell for two straight years to 8.2% in 2025, well below the Black share of the adult population (11.9%).

3

White home purchase originations grew by about 79,000 loans in 2025, more than the entire net increase in home purchase lending that year, even as Hispanic, Black and Asian originations combined fell by about 40,000. This concentration of growth in a single group is not typical of the trends seen in the broader 2020 to 2025 period.

4

Among the fifty largest metropolitan areas, Black borrowers reached or exceeded their population share in only three of them.

5

Lending for Hispanic borrowers ran well below their total population share in high-cost coastal metros, such as San Jose, Los Angeles and New York, and at or above it in Miami, Orlando, Las Vegas and Phoenix, which are among the metros with the largest Hispanic populations.

The Racial Gap the Market Inherited

Homeownership rates by race have been measured for more than a century, with the distance between racial/ethnic groups widening considerably.

The chart below shows those rates over the full period of record. The Black-White gap is about the same size today as when the Census Bureau first recorded it in 1900.

Homeownership Rate and Gap by Race, 1870-2035

The most striking thing about this picture is how little has changed. While most economic measures in this country look different after a century, this one has not seen a significant positive shift. Whatever forces have had an impact on wages, education levels and household composition over that time have not closed the distance between who owns a home and who rents one.

The housing finance structure that produced that gap was built on purpose. During the Great Depression era, programs were created that would legally cement a practice of lenders avoiding lending in neighborhoods based on the race of the people who lived there. After World War II, the federal government expanded homeownership through Veterans Administration (VA) loans and Federal Housing Administration (FHA) underwriting standards that excluded Black neighborhoods by design. This resulted in White families acquiring generational wealth via homeownership while Black families continued to see the homeownership gap deepen.

While Hispanic households have made some gains in the homeownership sphere, they also are working against an inheritance gap when compared to White households. The Census Bureau did not track Hispanic origin as its own category until 1980 so the historical record here is thinner than for Black and White homeownership. What data does exist shows a pattern common among immigrant groups.

Homeownership rises with time spent in the country, with US born children of immigrants closing most of the remaining gap. By the time they reach their mid-40s, most children of immigrants have closed the wealth gap compared with their non-immigrant neighbors. This is a different pattern than what is observed among the descendants of American chattel slavery, where legal barriers to homeownership were enforced by design rather than eased by time in the country.

Same Year, Three Very Different Paths

The chart below tracks each demographic group’s share of home purchase lending for the 2020 through 2025 time period. The shares were adjusted in a way that applicants who did not report their race or ethnicity were set aside and the remaining groups’ lending rates were summed to the whole total.

Asian, Hispanic and Black home purchase lending all fell in 2025, but the trajectories of each group looked very different coming into that year. Prior to 2025, Asian and Hispanic home purchase lending was on the rise, with Asian borrowers overrepresented compared with their population.

The chart below shows the rapid rise and retreat of both Asian and Hispanic homebuyers in the market during and after the pandemic. By contrast, the stagnation of African Americans homeownership is quite clear:

Hispanic and Black borrowers spent most of this period on separate trajectories. Hispanic homebuying rose year after year, closing much of the distance between it and the overall Hispanic share of the adult population, which is the closest any underrepresented group has come to parity in this data set. Black homebuying rates rose early in the period, flattened and then retreated back to its original level, ending the period exactly where it started.

In the final year, homebuying rates for both demographic groups trended down at the same time. Lending to Hispanic, Black and Asian borrowers fell in absolute terms and not only as a share of a shrinking market, while White lending rates rose. In earlier years that saw considerable market growth, the gains were spread across several groups rather than concentrated in only one.

For Black borrowers, it means five years of movement with nothing to show for it. For Hispanic borrowers, it means a long climb interrupted at the point where parity was within reach.

This data show the direction of the shift but not its cause. For Hispanic and Asian communities where population growth depends heavily on immigration, a sharp national falloff over the same period is a plausible contributor. Many major metro areas had also come to depend on immigration for most of their population growth before the 2025 slowdown, with recent Census data showing a population rebound in major metro areas driven by it.

The longer arc matters for anyone planning around future mortgage demand. Senior Fellow with the Brookings Institution William Frey projects that higher immigration rates would add 50 million working-age people and 17 million children under 15 by 2051, while a net zero immigration rate would shrink the working-age population as the senior population grows. Roughly half of recent arrivals identify as Hispanic and a quarter as Asian. Household formation and mortgage demand also follow these number trends as well.

Where to Loans Went

The race of a borrower and the composition of the neighborhoods they reside in are a few ways to determine what areas and regions lending actually lands. The chart below categorizes every home purchase loan according to the share of the total population it makes up in surrounding census tracts that are majority non-White:

The chart above shows that Census tract boundaries changed during the 2020 Census and are represented in HMDA data from 2022, which produces a large gap between the two years that further obscures the reasons around certain lending behavior patterns. However, the comparison worth making is within each period rather than across the break in this trend.

From 2023 onward, lending has drifted away from neighborhoods with the largest people of color populations and toward ones with higher concentrations of White individuals.  While the rates of upward movement were small, they held throughout the 2023 to 2025 time period. Borrower-level lending shows a parallel pattern.

Two different measures pointing the same way is the useful signal here as a market can shift when it comes to borrower race without shifting on geography, or the reverse. When both move in the same direction, it suggests that the change is in who is able to buy a home rather than in where houses happen to be for sale.

Who is Buying in These Neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with large populations of color contain households at every income level and so do the people buying homes there. While it is not unexpected that buyers in Majority Minority Census Tracts (MMCTs) will be diverse due to historical trends, the majority of the people buying homes in MMCTs are often already relatively wealthy.

The chart below shows the race and ethnicity of buyers in each group of neighborhoods split into the four CRA income tiers:

The data shows that upper-income buyers are not disproportionately White even in the most diverse neighborhoods. In tracts that are more than three-quarters people of color, 81.3% of upper-income buyers are Black, Hispanic, Asian or of another race. The people of color share among buyers below the upper-income cutoff point in those same tracts sits at 83.4%.

The least diverse tracts show the same pattern in reverse. Upper-income and below-upper-income buyers are more than 84% White. Moving from below-upper to upper income areas shifts the White share of buyers by two points or less in either group of tracts. Ultimately, a neighborhood’s racial composition and not a buyer’s income determines who its buyers are.

However, income does still matter at the margins. Low- and moderate-income buyers accounted for 34% of purchases in tracts that are more than 75% people of color against 26% in tracts that are less than 25%. The upper-income share of purchases fell in every group of neighborhoods in 2025, from 40.4% to 36.9% in the most diverse tracts and from 48.7% to 46.8% in the least. The loan volume flowing into a community of color doesn’t necessarily translate to a community’s own residents being able to buy a home.

Lending Patterns in Metro Regions

Among the 50 largest metropolitan areas, Black borrowers reached or exceeded parity with their population share in three cities: Providence, RI, Portland, OR and Seattle. In each of those metros, the Black population is a small share of the total adult population and the share of loans to Black borrowers exceeded those low levels.

Every metro area with a large Black population is receiving loans at a rate well below their share of the adult population, including in Baltimore (76.6) and Atlanta (78.9) on a scale where 100 means that the rate of lending matched the overall population.

The chart below ranks the top 50 metro areas by the gap between Black home purchase lending and the Black share of the adult population from most underrepresented to most overrepresented:

The data suggests that Hispanic borrowers split along cost lines rather than their actual population size. In the highest-cost coastal metros, Hispanic lending runs well below the Hispanic share of adults — 44.3 in San Jose, CA, 63.1 in Los Angeles and 67.2 in New York. Several metros with the largest Hispanic populations sit at or above parity, including Miami at 110.4 and Orlando at 125.2. Lending rates also run above the population share across a set of Midwestern and Southeastern metros with much smaller Hispanic populations.

Metro areas with small population bases show the widest swings in the parity index, with the raw shares being worth examining closer. For instance, in Louisville, KY, Hispanic borrowers received 17.1% of home purchase loans (13,689 loans in total) while Hispanic adults make up 6.1% of the population.

Two factors this analysis does not account for is that the Hispanic population in the US is not uniform, with first-generation and multi-generation Hispanic families buying homes at different rates in proportions that vary by metro. Also, one’s household income relative to a particular metro’s local market also matters. For example, San Jose, CA is among the highest-income metros in the country, with Hispanic households earning below their metro’s median income would show lower rates of homebuying for that reason alone.

The deliberate and systemic effort to enforce de-facto segregation by restricting access to housing has survived its legal demise. Housing finance has proven even more efficient at denying access to minority borrowers. The intransigent gap in White and Black homeownership has survived every legal effort to curtail it and it seems poised to continue to expand.

A more detailed analysis for all 50 metro areas can be found in this companion data workbook. NCRC members interested in an analysis of their own metro area can contact NCRC’s research team directly.

Resources

For the complete series, including videos, interactive visualizations and localized market analysis, visit our 2026 Mortgage Market series homepage. NCRC members can request customized community data requests as well. Those interested in membership benefits should contact Ralph Cyrus (Membership Engagement Specialist) at rcyrus@ncrc.org.

Mortgage Market Series

PART 2: Race and the mortgage market

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